Southwest monsoon continues to remain in abeyance for Delhi/NCR. The monsoon winds, which looked promising for a decent start last weekend itself, have somehow been languishing and failed to unleash the first monsoon shower. Southwest monsoon has advanced over Rajasthan, West Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, and Punjab, leaving Delhi squeezed and awaiting the inaugural burst of monsoon. Delhi may have to contend with a soft start of the monsoon, as against the forceful entry predicted earlier.

All other parameters like clouds, winds, and humidity are in place and aligned with the monsoonal pattern. However, the visible manifestation of the commencement of monsoon in terms of rainfall has been eluding Delhi/NCR. The monsoon easterlies have been caught between the foothills of Uttarakhand, Haryana, and Punjab on one side and the stretch of Aravalli on the southwestern side. The wait for onset seems to be getting longer and may take anything like 2–3 days for breaking the jinx, and that too for a meek entry.

There is a cyclonic circulation over the Northeast Arabian Sea and adjoining parts of Kutch, South Rajasthan, and neighbouring Pakistan region. On the other side of the coast, yet another cyclonic circulation is marked over the Northwest Bay of Bengal and adjoining North Odisha and West Bengal. An east-west trough is joining these two features, embedded with another circulation over the Madhya Pradesh region. This trough is quite far to the south of Delhi and therefore precludes any significant impact. There is a western disturbance as a cyclonic circulation over North Pakistan and adjoining Punjab. This feature is trying to pull the trough closer to Delhi. The northward shift of the trough will lead to a few patchy showers over Delhi/NCR, today and tomorrow. The close proximity of the trough will increase the spread and intensity of showers between 27th and 29th June, more so on 28th June 2025. The monsoon stream is hanging close to Delhi, at just an arm’s distance but missing the trigger to break in speedily and forcefully. For the time being, the monsoon may have a soft landing over the national capital but promises decent showers early next week.