Heavy Rainfall Over Rajasthan: Vigorous Monsoon Conditions Till Weekend
Representational Image: AI-Skymet
Key Takeaways:
- Vigorous monsoon conditions are likely over western, southern, and central Rajasthan during the next 24 hours.
- Heavy to flooding rainfall may affect several districts, including Jaisalmer, Barmer, Jodhpur, Kota, Udaipur, and Banswara.
- A low-pressure area over Southeast Rajasthan and adjoining Madhya Pradesh is driving the intense weather activity.
- Rainfall intensity is expected to reduce gradually, with broader improvement likely from July 28 onward.
- Forecast Validity: Next 3 to 5 days.
The state of Rajasthan has received moderate rainfall across the region during the past 24 hours. The showers were rather heavy at locations such as Phalodi, Jodhpur, Ajmer, Barmer, and Jaisalmer. Weather activity will continue across the region, with the possibility of heavy rainfall over the western, southern, and central parts. Vigorous monsoon conditions are likely over these parts of the state during the next 24 hours.
Under the influence of an east-west-oriented shear zone around 22°–23°N, a low-pressure area has formed over Southeast Rajasthan and adjoining Madhya Pradesh. The proximity of the Arabian Sea is feeding moisture-rich southwesterly winds into the system. Earlier, the state of Gujarat was deluged by unprecedented rainfall across large parts. The intense convergence zone is now likely to move northward and get positioned over the southern half of Rajasthan, covering the western, southern, and central districts.
The system will weaken as it moves farther away from the Arabian Sea. However, it will remain strong enough to cause inclement weather conditions over the state for the next two days.
Heavy rainfall is likely over the border areas of western Rajasthan, the arid regions of the central parts, and adjoining districts of West Madhya Pradesh. The spread of weather activity may not reduce significantly, but the intensity is expected to taper down over the next three days.
The next 24 hours remain particularly crucial, with the possibility of flooding rainfall over the southern and western parts of the state. Places at risk include Jaisalmer, Barmer, Phalodi, Jodhpur, Bikaner, Balotra, Jalore, Sirohi, Pali, Kota, Bundi, Baran, Jhalawar, Rajsamand, Chittorgarh, Udaipur, Dungarpur, Banswara, and Pratapgarh.
The northern half of Rajasthan will remain comparatively better off than the rest of the state. A broader improvement in weather conditions is expected partly from July 27 and more significantly from July 28 onward.
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