Light Rain Likely In Some Pockets Of Delhi: Hot -Humid Till Weekend: Monsoon Showers Next Week Likely
Representational Image: AI-Skymet
Key Takeaways:
- Isolated light rain is possible over Delhi tonight before drier conditions return until the weekend.
- Maximum temperatures are expected to remain around 38°C despite the presence of the monsoon trough nearby.
- A cyclonic circulation over central Pakistan may revive rainfall activity between July 20 and 23.
- Overall monsoon activity is likely to remain below normal, making it difficult for Delhi to reach its average July rainfall.
- Forecast Validity: Next 5 to 7 days.
As expected, some parts of Delhi received light rainfall during the night. The showers were isolated and short-lived. The airport observatory at Palam recorded 4.8 mm of rainfall, while Ayanagar measured 1 mm. Safdarjung and Lodhi Road recorded no rainfall.
Light rainfall may recur tonight, after which drier weather conditions are likely to prevail until the weekend. In the absence of widespread rainfall activity, the maximum temperature rose to 38.6°C yesterday, the highest of this month so far, matching the temperatures recorded on 5th and 6th July 2026. Today, the maximum temperature is likely to hover around 38°C (±1°C).
The seasonal monsoon trough continues to remain north of Delhi, though not very far away. The western end of the trough is passing through Jammu, Dehradun and Bareilly before extending southeastwards to the low-pressure area over the North Bay of Bengal. The proximity of the trough is expected to trigger the development of convective clouds during the evening and night hours. Before that, the mercury is likely to cross the 38°C mark during the late afternoon. Strong low-level westerly winds will restrict any sharp rise in daytime temperatures.
The east-west trough is expected to shift further north between 16th and 19th July, reducing the chances of even light rainfall during this period. A fresh cyclonic circulation is likely to develop over central Pakistan and adjoining border areas around 19th July. This system will enhance wind convergence and pull the monsoon trough southwards, bringing it closer to Delhi.
Under the combined influence of the cyclonic circulation and the monsoon trough, Delhi is expected to witness light to moderate monsoon showers between 20th and 23rd July. While the intensity and spatial coverage of rainfall may not be very significant, these showers are likely to provide relief from the prolonged spell of warm and humid weather.
Overall, monsoon activity is expected to remain subdued over the next 10 days. As a result, it is unlikely to add substantially to Delhi's monthly rainfall total, which currently stands at 132.2 mm. Catching up with the normal July rainfall of 195.8 mm appears difficult under the prevailing weather pattern.
Trending:
