Rajasthan Weather Forecast: Rain & Thunderstorms to Continue for Next 3 Days
Key Takeaways:
- Rajasthan has shifted from a dry February to a rain-surplus March.
- Western Disturbances are driving repeated rain and thunderstorm activity.
- Rain will intensify on March 25 and shift eastward by March 26–27.
- Standing crops remain at high risk due to strong winds and hail.
After a largely dry February, weather activity picked up pace across Rajasthan in March. Despite the state’s otherwise low monthly rainfall average, both regions have recorded surplus precipitation. As of March 23, West Rajasthan is rain-surplus by 39%, while East Rajasthan shows an even higher surplus of 61%—a notable shift from seasonal norms.
What Caused This Sudden Change?
The primary reason behind this unusual wet spell has been the increased frequency and intensity of Western Disturbances, especially after March 12. These systems triggered:
- Formation of induced cyclonic circulations over Pakistan and adjoining Rajasthan
- Enhanced moisture incursion and instability, leading to pre-monsoon-like conditions
- Multiple rounds of rain, thunderstorms, and gusty winds
While these systems have brought much-needed moisture, they have also led to untimely weather events.
Impact on Agriculture
The ongoing pre-monsoon activity has already damaged standing crops in several districts. With the harvesting season underway, strong winds and sudden rain spells are particularly harmful, increasing the risk of further losses.
Rainfall Forecast (March 24–27)
March 24:
- Isolated light rain is expected over western parts, especially around Jaisalmer.
March 25:
- Rain activity will intensify over Northwest Rajasthan.
- Likely affected areas include: Sri Ganganagar, Hanumangarh, Churu, Bikaner, Jaisalmer, and Jodhpur.
March 26–27:
- The rain belt will gradually shift eastward and northward.
- Areas likely to receive rain and thunderstorms include: Jhunjhunu, Sikar, Alwar, Dausa, Karauli, Bharatpur, Kota, Bundi, Sawai Madhopur, Ajmer, and Jaipur.
What to Watch Out For
- Strong winds accompanying thunderstorms
- Localized hail or intense showers in pockets
- Increased risk of crop damage during the harvesting stage
Outlook Ahead
There are early indications of another spell of rain towards the end of March over parts of Rajasthan. However, clarity on its intensity and spread will emerge in the coming days.
