Hot Days Ahead For Bengaluru: Rains Unlikely

By: AVM GP Sharma | Edited By: Arti Kumari
Feb 19, 2026, 1:30 PM
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Key Takeaways:

  • Pleasant February weather in Bengaluru is ending, with hot and humid pre-monsoon conditions approaching early.
  • A weak chance of brief showers on Feb 21 exists due to a Bay of Bengal low-pressure system.
  • Temperatures may reach 32°–33°C next week, marking the season’s first strong heat rise.
  • March to May peak summer could bring frequent 35°C readings before monsoon cooling begins.

A pleasant weather window for Bengaluru is likely to end soon. Hot and sticky weather is expected, as the transition to a warmer pre-monsoon seems to be reaching earlier than expected. March to May, as such, is the hot weather period for the tech city, sitting on a plateau with an elevation of about 3,000 feet. Mid-March to mid-May is the peak summer before the frequent pre-monsoon showers start lashing the city, right from the second half of May till the arrival of the monsoon.

Bengaluru has remained completely dry in the month of February. There is a small chance of cloudy weather with light, brief, and fleeting showers on February 21, 2026. This could be just a touch-and-go situation. There is a low-pressure area over the extreme Southwest Bay of Bengal and the adjoining equatorial region of Sri Lanka. The weather system will move across the Comorin and Maldives region over the next 3–4 days. The low pressure will cause moderate to heavy rain over the southernmost tip of the country, covering Tamil Nadu and Kerala between February 20 and 22, 2026.

While moving south abeam the southern parts of these two states, the northward extension of the trough could bring scattered clouds reaching South Interior Karnataka and the capital city Bengaluru on February 21, 2026. There is a bleak chance of light drizzle in some parts of the city and suburbs. Once the system moves away, the temperature is likely to rise over the city from the start of next week. The day temperature may reach 32°–33°C for the first time this season. Being an elevated place and therefore rarified, the city responds excessively to an increase of even 2°–3°C. The month of March, as such, gets the highest rise of mercury, and the average for the month shoots to 33.4°C from the modest 30.9°C in February. The city quite often breaches the 35°C mark in the second half of March, and this becomes more frequent in April and May. Temperatures cool down substantially after the onset of the monsoon and generally stay below the 30°C mark.

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AVM GP Sharma
President of Meteorology & Climate Change
AVM Sharma, President of Meteorology & Climate Change at Skymet Weather Services, is a retired Indian Air Force officer who previously led the Meteorological Branch at Air Headquarters in New Delhi. With over a decade of experience at Skymet, he brings a wealth of knowledge and expertise to the organization.
FAQ

Only a slight chance of brief showers on February 21, otherwise the month remains mostly dry.

Day temperatures may rise to 32°–33°C next week and could cross 35°C later in March.

Mid-March to mid-May is typically the hottest period before pre-monsoon showers begin.

Disclaimer: This content is based on meteorological interpretation and climatological datasets assessed by Skymet’s forecasting team. While we strive to maintain scientific accuracy, weather patterns may evolve due to dynamic atmospheric conditions. This assessment is intended for informational purposes and should not be considered an absolute or guaranteed prediction.

Skymet is India’s most accurate private weather forecasting and climate intelligence company, providing reliable weather data, monsoon updates, and agri-risk management solutions across the country.