Skymet Weather Forecast August 04: Heavy Rain Likely Over Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, Kerala & Northeast India

By: Mahesh Palawat | Edited By: Arti Kumari
Aug 3, 2026, 1:45 PM
WhatsApp icon
thumbnail image

Representational Image: AI-Skymet

Key Takeaways:

  • Heavy rain is likely over Kerala, Coastal Karnataka, Konkan & Goa, parts of Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, Odisha, Assam, Arunachal Pradesh, and Sub-Himalayan West Bengal.
  • The monsoon trough has shifted northward, while a western disturbance continues to influence weather over North India.
  • Light to moderate rain is expected across most parts of Northeast India, Bihar, Jharkhand, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Gujarat, and the Western Himalayas.
  • Light rain is likely over Delhi, Haryana, Punjab, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Lakshadweep, and parts of Tamil Nadu.
  • Forecast Validity: Next 24 hours.

The Weather Systems Over The Country

The low-pressure area over Southwest Rajasthan and adjoining regions has become less marked. However, the associated cyclonic circulation persists over central parts of Rajasthan between 1.5 km and 4.5 km above mean sea level.

The monsoon trough at mean sea level now passes through Sri Ganganagar, Hisar, Bareilly, Sultanpur, Patna, and then extends eastwards towards Manipur. It extends up to 0.9 km above mean sea level.

A cyclonic circulation persists over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim between 1.5 km and 3.1 km above mean sea level.

The western disturbance, seen as a cyclonic circulation, is positioned over the Jammu Division and adjoining areas between 5.8 km and 7.6 km above mean sea level.

A trough extending from Southwest Rajasthan to Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim, passing through the centre of the former low-pressure area over Southwest Rajasthan, northern Madhya Pradesh, southeast Uttar Pradesh, and Bihar at 9 km above mean sea level, has merged with the monsoon trough.

Weather Activities During The Last 24 Hours

During the last 24 hours, light to moderate rain with a few heavy spells occurred over Kerala, Coastal Karnataka, Konkan and Goa, Madhya Maharashtra, Telangana, East and Central Uttar Pradesh, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, East Assam, and Arunachal Pradesh.

Light to moderate rain occurred over the Northeast, Odisha, Bihar, Jharkhand, Uttar Pradesh, Andhra Pradesh, Interior Karnataka, Gujarat, Rajasthan, the Western Himalayas, and the Andaman & Nicobar Islands.

Light rain occurred over Tamil Nadu, Lakshadweep, Vidarbha, Madhya Pradesh, East Rajasthan, parts of Delhi, Haryana, and Chhattisgarh.

Forecast

During the next 24 hours, light to moderate rain with a few heavy spells is likely over Kerala, Coastal Karnataka, Konkan and Goa, parts of Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Odisha, Assam, and Arunachal Pradesh.

Light to moderate rain is likely over the Northeast, Bihar, Jharkhand, Andhra Pradesh, Interior Karnataka, Telangana, parts of Tamil Nadu, Gujarat, the Western Himalayas, and the Andaman & Nicobar Islands.

Light rain is possible over Lakshadweep, Vidarbha, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Northeast Rajasthan, parts of Delhi, Haryana, Punjab, and isolated parts of Tamil Nadu.

Trending:

author image
Mahesh Palawat
Vice President of Meteorology & Climate Change
Mr. Palawat, Vice President of Meteorology & Climate Change, is a former Air Force boxer and a passionate weather enthusiast. Dedicated to tracking and predicting weather for the benefit of farmers and the general public, he has been an integral part of Skymet since its inception.
FAQ

Heavy rainfall is expected over Kerala, Coastal Karnataka, Konkan & Goa, parts of Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, Odisha, Assam, Arunachal Pradesh, and Sub-Himalayan West Bengal.

A northward-shifting monsoon trough, along with a western disturbance and cyclonic circulations, is enhancing monsoon activity over North India.

Yes. Light rain is likely over parts of Delhi during the next 24 hours.

Disclaimer: This analysis is based on Skymet’s proprietary weather database, internal forecast models, station observations, climatological datasets, and expert meteorological interpretation by the Skymet Weather team. While every effort is made to ensure scientific accuracy, weather conditions are dynamic and may evolve over time. This assessment is intended for informational purposes and should not be considered an absolute or guaranteed prediction.

Skymet is India’s most accurate private weather forecasting and climate intelligence company, providing reliable weather data, monsoon updates, and agri-risk management solutions across the country.