Skymet Weather Forecast July 12: Monsoon to Pause Across Much of India; Bay System May Revive Rains in East
Representational Image: AI-Skymet
Key Takeaways:
- The low-pressure area over Uttar Pradesh is weakening but continues to support rainfall across northern India.
- Heavy rain is likely over Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Bihar, West Bengal and Northeast India.
- Light to moderate showers will continue over Chhattisgarh, Coastal Karnataka and Kerala.
- Most other parts of the country will witness light rainfall or isolated showers.
- Forecast Validity: Next 24 hours.
The Weather Systems Over The Country
The well-marked low-pressure area over northwest Uttar Pradesh and adjoining regions has weakened into a low-pressure area. At 5:30 AM IST on July 10, it was centred over the northern parts of central Uttar Pradesh. The associated cyclonic circulation extends up to 5.8 km above mean sea level, tilting southwards with height. It is likely to weaken gradually over the next 24 hours.
The monsoon trough at mean sea level extends from Ganganagar, Hissar, the centre of the low-pressure area over northern parts of central Uttar Pradesh, Gorakhpur and Purnea, before extending east-southeastwards towards Mizoram.
The offshore trough at mean sea level now extends from the Gujarat coast to the Maharashtra coast.
A cyclonic circulation persists over Gangetic West Bengal and adjoining Bangladesh, extending up to 5.8 km above mean sea level.
A western disturbance, in the form of a cyclonic circulation, is positioned over north Pakistan and adjoining areas at 5.8 km above mean sea level.
Weather Activities During The Last 24 Hours
During the last 24 hours, moderate to heavy rainfall occurred over Uttarakhand, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and East Assam.
Light to moderate rainfall occurred over East Madhya Pradesh, the northeastern states, East Rajasthan, Delhi, Jammu & Kashmir, parts of Odisha, North Tamil Nadu, Vidarbha, Madhya Maharashtra, Konkan & Goa, Coastal Karnataka and Kerala.
Light rainfall was recorded over Telangana, Interior Karnataka, South Tamil Nadu, Lakshadweep, and the Andaman & Nicobar Islands.
Forecast
During the next 24 hours, light to moderate rain, with a few heavy spells, is likely over Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, East Uttar Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, parts of Odisha, West Bengal, Bihar, Jharkhand, Sikkim, Assam, Arunachal Pradesh, Coastal Karnataka and Kerala.
Light to moderate rainfall is expected over Konkan & Goa, Jammu & Kashmir and Northeast Madhya Pradesh.
Light rainfall is likely over North Punjab, Tamil Nadu, Telangana, Vidarbha, Andhra Pradesh, Lakshadweep and the Andaman & Nicobar Islands.
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