Skymet Weather Update June 19: Monsoon Progress Remains Sluggish; Dust Storms Likely Over Northwest India

By: Mahesh Palawat | Edited By: Arti Kumari
Jun 18, 2026, 12:35 PM
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Representational Image: AI-Skymet

Key Takeaways:

  • Monsoon advancement has stalled over the West Coast for the last 10 days.
  • Heavy rainfall activity is likely over parts of Tamil Nadu, Kerala, West Bengal and Assam.
  • Dust storms and thunderstorms may impact Delhi, Rajasthan, Punjab and Haryana.
  • Heat wave conditions may continue over isolated pockets of Uttar Pradesh.
  • Forecast Validity: 3 to 4 days

The Weather Systems Over The Country

Monsoon has not advanced over the West Coast during the last 10 days. The progress of monsoon has remained sluggish over East India as well. No significant advancement is expected over both East and West India during the next 3 to 4 days.

The seasonal trough at mean sea level extends from Punjab to Bihar across Haryana and Uttar Pradesh.

The western disturbance is seen as a cyclonic circulation over North Pakistan and adjoining areas at 3.1 km above mean sea level.

An induced cyclonic circulation is present over South Punjab and adjoining areas, extending up to 1.5 km above mean sea level.

Another cyclonic circulation is lying over Northwest Uttar Pradesh at 3.1 km above mean sea level.

A trough extends from Jharkhand to Coastal Andhra Pradesh across Interior Odisha, extending up to 1.5 km above mean sea level.

Another trough extends from North Tamil Nadu to Lakshadweep at 3.1 km above mean sea level.

Weather Activities During The Last 24 Hours

During the last 24 hours, heat wave conditions occurred in isolated pockets of East Uttar Pradesh.

Light to moderate rain with one or two heavy spells occurred over Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Interior Tamil Nadu and Southeast Rajasthan.

Light to moderate rain occurred over Northeast India, parts of East Bihar, parts of Chhattisgarh, Odisha, Madhya Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, South Coastal Karnataka, North Punjab, Jammu & Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh.

Light rain occurred over Telangana, Marathwada, North Coast Maharashtra and isolated pockets of Gujarat and Bihar.

Forecast

During the next 24 hours, light to moderate rain with a few heavy spells are possible over Interior Tamil Nadu, Kerala, West Bengal and parts of Assam.

Light to moderate rain may occur over Northeast India, Northeast Bihar, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, South Karnataka, Lakshadweep, Andaman & Nicobar Islands, the Western Himalayas, parts of Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, Telangana and Andhra Pradesh.

Isolated light rain is possible over Odisha, Vidarbha, Southeast Rajasthan, South and East Gujarat, and Konkan & Goa.

Dust storm and thunderstorm with rain may occur over parts of Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan and Delhi.

Heat wave conditions are possible in isolated pockets of Uttar Pradesh.

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Mahesh Palawat
Vice President of Meteorology & Climate Change
Mr. Palawat, Vice President of Meteorology & Climate Change, is a former Air Force boxer and a passionate weather enthusiast. Dedicated to tracking and predicting weather for the benefit of farmers and the general public, he has been an integral part of Skymet since its inception.
FAQ

No, the monsoon has remained stalled over the West Coast during the last 10 days.

Interior Tamil Nadu, Kerala, parts of West Bengal and Assam may receive light to moderate rain with a few heavy spells.

Parts of Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan and Delhi may witness dust storms and thunderstorms with rain.

Disclaimer: This content is based on meteorological interpretation and climatological datasets assessed by Skymet’s forecasting team. While we strive to maintain scientific accuracy, weather patterns may evolve due to dynamic atmospheric conditions. This assessment is intended for informational purposes and should not be considered an absolute or guaranteed prediction.

Skymet is India’s most accurate private weather forecasting and climate intelligence company, providing reliable weather data, monsoon updates, and agri-risk management solutions across the country.