Skymet Weather Forecast July 16: Low-Pressure Area to Trigger Heavy Rain Over East & Northeast India

By: Mahesh Palawat | Edited By: Arti Kumari
Jul 15, 2026, 1:45 PM
WhatsApp icon
thumbnail image

Representational Image: AI-Skymet

Key Takeaways:

  • A low-pressure area has formed over the North Bay of Bengal off the Odisha-West Bengal coast.
  • The system is likely to move west-northwestwards across North Odisha and Gangetic West Bengal over the next two days.
  • Heavy rain is likely over Sikkim, Northeast India, parts of Odisha and Chhattisgarh.
  • Light to moderate monsoon showers will continue over several parts of eastern, central and northern India.
  • Forecast Validity: Next 24 hours.

The Weather Systems Over The Country

The monsoon trough at mean sea level continues to pass through Jammu, Dehradun, Bareilly, Gorakhpur, Patna, Buxar, the centre of the low-pressure area over the Northwest Bay of Bengal off the North Odisha and West Bengal coast, and thereafter extends southeastwards towards the East-Central Bay of Bengal.

Under the influence of a cyclonic circulation over the North Bay of Bengal and adjoining South Bangladesh, a low-pressure area has formed over the North Bay of Bengal off the North Odisha–West Bengal coast at 0530 hours IST today, July 15. The associated cyclonic circulation extends up to 7.6 km above mean sea level, tilting southwestwards with height. It is likely to move west-northwestwards, crossing North Odisha and Gangetic West Bengal during the next two days.

The upper air cyclonic circulation over North Gujarat and adjoining Southwest Rajasthan at 5.8 km above mean sea level persists.

The Western Disturbance is seen as a cyclonic circulation over North Pakistan and adjoining Jammu at 5.8 km above mean sea level.

Another cyclonic circulation is persisting over East Uttar Pradesh and adjoining areas at 5.8 km above mean sea level.

Weather Activities During The Last 24 Hours

During the last 24 hours, the monsoon trough at mean sea level continues to pass through Jammu, Dehradun, Bareilly, Gorakhpur, Patna, Buxar, the centre of the low-pressure area over the Northwest Bay of Bengal off the North Odisha and West Bengal coast, and thereafter extends southeastwards towards the East-Central Bay of Bengal.

Under the influence of a cyclonic circulation over the North Bay of Bengal and adjoining South Bangladesh, a low-pressure area has formed over the North Bay of Bengal off the North Odisha–West Bengal coast at 0530 hours IST today, July 15. The associated cyclonic circulation extends up to 7.6 km above mean sea level, tilting southwestwards with height. It is likely to move west-northwestwards, crossing North Odisha and Gangetic West Bengal during the next two days.

The upper air cyclonic circulation over North Gujarat and adjoining Southwest Rajasthan at 5.8 km above mean sea level persists.

The Western Disturbance is seen as a cyclonic circulation over North Pakistan and adjoining Jammu at 5.8 km above mean sea level.

Another cyclonic circulation is persisting over East Uttar Pradesh and adjoining areas at 5.8 km above mean sea level.The monsoon trough at mean sea level continues to pass through Jammu, Dehradun, Bareilly, Gorakhpur, Patna, Buxar, the centre of the low-pressure area over the Northwest Bay of Bengal off the North Odisha and West Bengal coast, and thereafter extends southeastwards towards the East-Central Bay of Bengal.

Under the influence of a cyclonic circulation over the North Bay of Bengal and adjoining South Bangladesh, a low-pressure area has formed over the North Bay of Bengal off the North Odisha–West Bengal coast at 0530 hours IST today, July 15. The associated cyclonic circulation extends up to 7.6 km above mean sea level, tilting southwestwards with height. It is likely to move west-northwestwards, crossing North Odisha and Gangetic West Bengal during the next two days.

The upper air cyclonic circulation over North Gujarat and adjoining Southwest Rajasthan at 5.8 km above mean sea level persists.

The Western Disturbance is seen as a cyclonic circulation over North Pakistan and adjoining Jammu at 5.8 km above mean sea level.

Another cyclonic circulation is persisting over East Uttar Pradesh and adjoining areas at 5.8 km above mean sea level.

Forecast

During the next 24 hours, light to moderate rain with a few heavy spells may occur over Sikkim, Northeast India, parts of Odisha, and Chhattisgarh.

Light to moderate rain is possible over Bihar, Jharkhand, Odisha, Chhattisgarh, and Uttar Pradesh.

Light rain is possible over the Western Himalayas, parts of North Punjab, Gujarat, Konkan and Goa, Coastal Karnataka, Kerala, and at one or two places over Telangana and Vidarbha.

Trending:

author image
Mahesh Palawat
Vice President of Meteorology & Climate Change
Mr. Palawat, Vice President of Meteorology & Climate Change, is a former Air Force boxer and a passionate weather enthusiast. Dedicated to tracking and predicting weather for the benefit of farmers and the general public, he has been an integral part of Skymet since its inception.
FAQ

It has formed over the North Bay of Bengal off the North Odisha and West Bengal coast.

Sikkim, Northeast India, parts of Odisha and Chhattisgarh are likely to witness a few heavy spells.

The low-pressure area is expected to move west-northwestwards across North Odisha and Gangetic West Bengal.

Disclaimer: This content is based on meteorological interpretation and climatological datasets assessed by Skymet’s forecasting team. While we strive to maintain scientific accuracy, weather patterns may evolve due to dynamic atmospheric conditions. This assessment is intended for informational purposes and should not be considered an absolute or guaranteed prediction.

Skymet is India’s most accurate private weather forecasting and climate intelligence company, providing reliable weather data, monsoon updates, and agri-risk management solutions across the country.