Active Western Disturbance Next Week: Subdued Weather Conditions Over North India During This Week
Key Takeaways:
- North India has witnessed very little weather activity over the past week, and subdued conditions will continue for the next five days.
- Winter 2026 is likely to end on a disappointing note with continued deficiency of rain and snowfall across the region.
- A weak western disturbance on February 27 will bring only isolated activity over the extremely high reaches.
- A stronger western disturbance around March 2–4 may bring rain and snowfall over the hills, while the plains remain mostly dry with rising temperatures.
North India, both the mountains and plains, has been witnessing the least weather activity for the last one week or even more. In the absence of any fresh system, subdued conditions will continue for the next about five days. A twist in the weather conditions, albeit largely for the hills, is likely at the start of the next week. Till then, the highlights will be a rise in temperature and strengthening of low-level winds.
Plains and mountains have witnessed a poor winter season so far. Officially, the season will end on 28th February 2026 and sadly, that will be on a disappointing note. Scarcity of rain and snow will continue during the remaining days of the month and the shortfall will grow further.
A very feeble western disturbance, as an upper-air trough, is likely to arrive on 27th February 2026. The extreme higher reaches may witness isolated weather activity, but most parts will go through the business as usual. Dry weather conditions will continue, leaving some anxious moments for the water bodies and glacial resources in the mountainous region.
Another western disturbance, stronger than the previous one, will arrive on 2nd March 2026. The stay will be short and clearance will follow early on 4th March. Even this system will influence weather activity over the mountains only and, at best, it may reach the foothills of Punjab and Haryana with minimal force. The hilly states, across the board, will have scattered rain in the lower and mid-level mountains under 10,000 feet height. The elevated peaks beyond 15,000 feet are likely to have light to moderate snowfall. Though the plains will not get impacted directly, yet after the passage, winds will become stronger in the lower levels. That will act as a prelude to the upcoming pre-monsoon season. Day temperatures will have a rising trend but will still get arrested short of 35°C over the plains of Punjab, Haryana, and Delhi.
