After a Week-Long Delay, Monsoon Advances into South Gujarat and South Madhya Pradesh
Key takeaways:
- Southwest Monsoon has advanced into South Gujarat and South Madhya Pradesh after a week-long delay.
- South Madhya Pradesh received widespread rainfall, with Khargone recording 117 mm rain.
- South Gujarat is yet to witness vigorous and widespread monsoon showers.
- Further monsoon advance into Central and North Gujarat and Madhya Pradesh may take a few more days.
- Forecast Validity: next 2-3 days
The Southwest Monsoon finally made its much-awaited advance into South Gujarat and South Madhya Pradesh on June 24, nearly a week behind its normal schedule. The delayed progress marks a significant step in the monsoon’s northward journey, although rainfall distribution has remained uneven across the newly covered regions.
South Madhya Pradesh Receives Widespread Monsoon Rain
Unlike South Gujarat, where rainfall has been relatively subdued, many parts of South Madhya Pradesh experienced widespread monsoon showers during the last 24 hours.
These rainfall amounts are typical of an active monsoon phase and have brought much-needed relief from the prolonged dry spell.
South Gujarat Yet to Witness Vigorous Monsoon Activity
Although the India Meteorological Department has declared the onset of the monsoon over Surat, Valsad, Dang, Navsari, Narmada, and adjoining parts of South Gujarat, rainfall over these districts has so far been modest.
The region is yet to experience the widespread and persistent showers generally associated with the arrival of the Southwest Monsoon.
Weather Systems Supporting the Monsoon
The current spell of rainfall is being driven by a combination of favourable weather systems. Moist southwesterly winds from the Arabian Sea continue to transport abundant moisture into Gujarat, Rajasthan, and western Madhya Pradesh.
In addition, a trough extends from Madhya Pradesh to the east-central Arabian Sea across North Maharashtra, while a cyclonic circulation persists over southeast Rajasthan and adjoining southwest Madhya Pradesh.
The interaction of these systems has enhanced atmospheric instability, leading to moderate to heavy rainfall over Southeast Rajasthan, South Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, and parts of Konkan & Goa.
Rain Likely to Continue
Light to moderate rainfall is expected to continue over South Gujarat during the next 2 to 3 days. Meanwhile, South Madhya Pradesh is likely to witness light to moderate rain with a few heavy spells, especially during the afternoon and evening hours.
Central and North Gujarat Still Await the Monsoon
While the monsoon has finally entered the southern parts of Gujarat and Madhya Pradesh, its advance into Central Gujarat, North Gujarat, Central Madhya Pradesh, and North Madhya Pradesh is expected to take a little longer.
These regions are likely to remain on the waiting list until the current weather systems strengthen further and the monsoon flow becomes more vigorous.
The coming few days will be crucial in determining the pace of the monsoon’s further advance across western and central India.
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